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Politics move quickly and opinions evolve. There's a good chance I no longer hold some of the opinions expressed in the post below
—Mustapha
Washington Paper Puts Timeline On Next Lebanon War
August 2, 2010 · Mustapha Hamoui
Daniel C. Kurtzer of the influential Council On Foreign Relations:
Although the border area between Israel and Lebanon is quieter than at any time in the previous decade, speculation that a third Lebanon war will occur in the next twelve to eighteen months has been steadily rising.
So I guess people in Lebanon have twelve to eighteen months to prepare. If you have time on your hands, read the whole thing (pdf).