Beirut Spring

Blogging Lebanon
since 2005

About

This post is more than 15 years old

Remember that politics move quickly, and people and their opinions evolve.

Badran on Syria’s Risky Tactics

June 2, 2010 · Mustapha Hamoui

Tony Badran (of Across The Bay fame) argues in NowLebanon that Syria is overplaying its hand by betting too much on Obama’s cautiousness and involving itself too deeply with Hezbollah:

It is one thing for small rockets to be launched from Gaza and Lebanon. These are the rockets of so-called “non-state actors.” But heavy-payload, guided rockets are “state” rockets, so to speak.

And that therefore an Israeli military response to Syria should not be discounted:

In the end, Israel will not allow an Iranian, WMD-capable ballistic base on its northern border, regardless of whether it ends up taking action against Iran or not. The default position so far has been to woo Syria through talks. However, given the increasingly provocative Syrian role, even if talks remain the preferred policy, a strike against a Syrian target is emerging as a growing probability.

From: Assad May Be Cruising For a Bruising