The 3.5 Theories On Who Killed François Hajj

Here’s a summary of the theories making the rounds in Beirut concerning the killing of General François Hajj.

Theory 1: The thugs in Damascus

Who killed him: The Syrian Regime
Why they did it: Because they want to keep the Lebanese executive authority paralyzed for trouble-free maneuvering and because they’re threatening Mr. Suleiman with a similar fate if he dares to challenge them.
Why it’s plausible: The Syrian Vice President said only yesterday that no one could beat Syria in Lebanon. Also, Syria has a history of meddling in Lebanese affairs.
Who believes this theory: The pro-independence March 14 movement and many independents.
Why the theory could be in doubt: The victim was ideologically close to Syria’s allies.

Theory 2: The dastardly Zionists and Americans

Who killed him: Secret American and Israeli agents
Why they did it: They are intervening through terrorism, as they usually do, to save the March 14 group from a politically weak position. They are also ridding the Army of a potential anti-Israeli leader
Why it’s plausible: The sophistication of the attack and the scale of the security breach can only be executed by very resourceful agencies.
Who believes this theory: Amal, Hezbollah and some Aounists
Why the theory could be in doubt: such a move by the Americans is very risky to their March 14 allies and could cause an enormous backlash if uncovered.

Theory 3: Al-Quaeda Terrorists

Who killed him: Hardline Islamists
Why they did it: They want to revenge Mr. Hajj’s successful military campaign against their diabolical schemes in the Naher Al Bared camp in the north.
Why it’s plausible: Only a suicidal freak can ram an explosive car in a General’s car in the heart of the Army’s security zone. 
Who believes this theory: Politicians might end up adopting this theory because it’s the most convenient and the most face-saving.
Why the theory could be in doubt: for such a major “success”, you’d think Al-Quaeda’s leadership would jump in to claim it. That didn’t happen yet.

Honorary mention, Theory 3.5: The Evil Saniora

Who killed him: Fouad Seniora’s negligence
Why he did it: To undermine the Christians and monopolize power.
Why it’s plausible: It’s always Seniora’s fault
Who believes this theory: Michel Aoun
Why the theory could be in doubt: …