Beirut Electoral Map
Here’s a comparison I found at Blogging Beirut between the 2000 and the 2008 electoral laws for Beirut.
As you can notice, the changes are obviously aimed at Mr. Hariri by lumping most of the Sunnis in one district and carving 2 smaller districts for minorities:
(source)
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Hello, my name is Mustapha and I blog in The Beirut Spring about Lebanese society and politics. I started in February 2005 after the killing of P.M. Rafik Hariri.
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Can I make a criticism of most Future movement fans? Sure I can.
Most of them seem to believe that every single possible combination of districts of Beirut is made against Hariri ie them.
When in 2000 the Hariri supporters were in separate districts the Future supporters started crying “this is aimed against us”.
Now that the Hariri supporters are mostly consolidated in one district I am again hearing the same “this is aimed against us” song.
Seriously? Stop crying wolf.
Even the FPM guys can’t keep up at this pace :-)
Hariri would reap 14 seats (as opposed to 17 in 2005) without much difficulty. The difference would be the Armenians he had with him in 2005 would be contested by the Tashnag. If he reaches an understanding with the Tashnag, he would be able to have a decent alliance in Parliament, one that would extend to Murr and Suleiman.
The loser here, of course, is Aoun… as usual.
Tony are you saying that you predict this alliance will happen and the loser will be Aoun as usual.
Or are you saying that “if” this happens Aoun will be the loser but if it does not happen he will be the winner but you have no idea which is the case?
Because the former would be an impressive prediction, and the latter is just a trivial petty observation.