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Politics move quickly and opinions evolve. There's a good chance I no longer hold some of the opinions expressed in the post below
—Mustapha
The Most Probable Lebanese Scenario
November 2, 2007 · Mustapha Hamoui
Bilal Y. Saab, a Senior Research Assistant in Foreign Policy Studies, Saban Center for Middle East Policy wrote a paper on the current Lebanese stalemate.
“The most probable outcome for Lebanon”, he writes, “is agreement among warring political camps over a consensus presidential candidate, but disagreement over the future political program, essentially prolonging the current political crisis.”
Read the synopsis of his paper for more on his reasoning, or, if you’re subscribed, the entire thing.