The Veteran And The Neophyte



Lebanese politics

Two political opponents are thawing the ice. One is doing it better than the other.

Opposition leader Nabih Berri and Majority leader Saad Hariri are starting to negotiate to choose the next Lebanese President. Only yesterday, they met three times, including once for the traditional Ramadan dawn meal of Sou7our.

They appeared comfortable with each other and this shouldn’t surprise us: Any negotiation professional will tell you that it is crucial to convey a sense of goodwill from the start to establish a working business relationship.

But the keyword here is “business relationship”, which Mr. Hariri -judging from most pictures of his night-time meeting with his foe- seems to be confusing with chumminess. The two have to convey the message that they are foes who have to work together, not long-lost lovers who finally met, and this is where Mr. Berri is doing a better job.

The body language of the above picture is telling: When the experienced Berri posed for the photo, he made sure he kept his shoulders and his eyes facing the camera and his hands firmly on the chair, all while sporting an obviously diplomatic smile. Mr. Hariri’s posture on the other hand (toothy grin, shoulders and eyes facing opponent) conveyed too much trust and friendliness, something that his supporters will feel subtley betrayed and bothered by.

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Discussion

No comments for “The Veteran And The Neophyte”

  1. Well, those who did not feel betrayed when he voted Berry as head of parliament in the first place probably won’t even notice now.

    After all, it is only a betrayal if JusDOranges does it.

    Those who did notice the betrayal back then, have probably gotten used to it by now, don’t you think?

    Posted by TAC | September 26, 2007, 10:43 am
  2. im sorry but i had to comment on how ridiculous this post is

    Posted by Leen | September 26, 2007, 2:23 pm
  3. Actually Mustapha is correct. In any for m of diplomacy or negotiation the perception of power/strength is as powerful as actual power/strength. What message do you want to send…? To me the first impression I get is that SAAAAAD is weak and looking to appease a rather menacing looking criminal, traitor grease monkey, piece of kharra like Berri. Now if he was looking more serious and/or resigned then you get het impression that there is a hurdle to climb and no one is going to win.

    Too bad i get the feeling that Harriri is giving away the whole cake…and Berri, like his other rat friends Claoun and hizbteezee is waiting…yalla….How much have you sold us for SAAAAAAAD?

    Ayesh Lubnan

    Posted by Shunkleash | September 26, 2007, 3:42 pm
  4. Leen,

    You must be new to this blog. Every once in a while, a ridiculous post is in order.

    If you dig into the archives, you’ll discover that this post can look like a PHD treatise in comparison to many others :)

    Posted by beirutspring | September 26, 2007, 4:49 pm
  5. I know the situation is dark, but I can’t help myself — it’s almost like I could hear:

    Berri (holding the chair in angry): OMG! I need to poo ASAP, can’t hold it anymore. Damn rotten shawarma!

    Sa3d (with a smile): No way! you said “2/3 - my way or the highway”, didn’t you ? Now stay put 2/3 of the time of this fake election.

    Posted by body language | September 27, 2007, 12:45 am
  6. My comment has nothing to do with this post, but I’d really like to hear what people think about the rumors that Saad wants to be the next Prime Minister. Personally I am surprised that he is even considering it and I think it is an absurd suggestion.

    I fully support the March 14 movement but to be honest I think a move like this is the beginning of its downfall. Lets say they agree on a weak consensus President, and then we have Saad Hariri as the new PM in a ‘political’ cabinet that has given veto power to the opposition, and Berri as Speaker…isn’t this a surrender to the opposition?? If this happens than than Berri will be even more powerful at impeding progress, and the underlying spirit and goals of the March 14 movement. He will have cheated the majority out of its decision-making power and created status quo that is in my opinion the slow death of the country!!

    I’d like to hear your opinions. I also hope Mustapha posts something on this issue. Also read Michael Young’s latest article…very insightful and interesting.

    Posted by m | September 27, 2007, 1:48 am
  7. m, as much as I (wishful thinking) doubt your sources, I agree with your view on the consequences. In Lebanon, anything goes, but I don’t think sa3d is infected with an acute “aounite” — is he ?

    Posted by the doctor | September 27, 2007, 1:59 am
  8. I don’t think so either, and I’m surprised to be hearing the rumors myself. I read about it somewhere a few weeks ago and dismissed it, but now I see the discussion in Michael Young’s articles. I sincerely hope that after everything Siniora has accomplished they aren’t considering an irrational move.

    With all due respect to Saad, he plays a largely political and sentimental role rather than that of the politically savvy and visionary role that his father played.

    Posted by m | September 27, 2007, 4:38 am
  9. M, your comment is insightful. I agree Saad would not make a good prime minister, but for somewhat different reasons.

    Lebanon needs a “transitional” government, and by transitional, I don’t need temporary, or agree with the 8ers, but someone who will transition Lebanon into a new relationship with its neighbour based in mutual respect for each country’s sovereignty, and borders, and Mr. Hariri can never begin that dialogue, while he’s claiming they killed his father (which is probably true).

    Neither the 8ers or the 14ers have it right, our nation should not be defined as either pro or anti Syrian, but pro Lebanon. We have a national interest in seeing the international tribunal come to fruition, and actually prosecute criminals, as well as a national interest in having good relations with our neighbour. Only politicians with no pro or anti Syrian cause can put forward our national agenda with any credibility.

    Posted by Visitor | September 27, 2007, 5:51 am
  10. “.. too much trust and friendliness…”

    So…far better when politicians exhibit distrust and belligerence, that way no follower will feel betrayed.

    Posted by JAS | September 28, 2007, 5:42 am
  11. I think you’re making too much of that photo; i’m not even sure they posed for it that way. It looks like it was captured while they were speaking.

    But on the other hand, Berri is the same old snake, and that “rapprochement” was the same one he did when he was being re-elected right after the parliamentary elections. If it wasn’t from Saad’s support back then, Berri wouldn’t have been elected.

    So, Berri is still the power-broker in Lebanon. He’s getting close to Saad in order to impose his will on him. Also, note the divide-and-conquer strategy. Berri isn’t getting as close to Joumblatt in order to isolate him. Of course, Joumblatt can’t be duped, but Saad is still too inexperienced.

    Posted by Zoro-Lebanese | September 29, 2007, 10:21 pm
  12. Doctor, i don’t know either if Saad is infected with the aounite virus or not but I am sure if he turns out to be, 90% of the March 14th supporters will be trying to find excuses as to why he deserves to become PM and that it is a different case that with Aoun.

    Ana my bet is, no matter who will be the next president, (aoun, march14 or middle) Saad will be doing everything he can to get the PM chair no matter how inexperienced he is.
    And I’ll be glad to be proven wrong. :-)

    Posted by TAC | September 30, 2007, 2:35 pm

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Hello, my name is Mustapha and I blog in The Beirut Spring about Lebanese society and politics. I started in February 2005 after the killing of P.M. Rafik Hariri.

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